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CPG News

Carl’s Jr. Launches “Prediction Payback” with Free Burgers on February 9

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by Agustina Branz · February 3, 2026

A split-screen promotional image for the Carl's Jr. Prediction Payback campaign. On the left, a smartphone displays the app offer for a $20 promo card next to a crumpled losing betting slip. On the right, a Hangover Breakfast Burger with egg, bacon, and hash browns sits on a wooden table near a coffee mug.

Carl’s Jr. is aiming to cure the “Monday after” blues with a new promotion targeting football fans who made the wrong call on the Big Game. The burger chain announced on Monday, February 2, 2026, that it will offer a free Hangover Breakfast Burger to loyalty members and give away $20 digital promo cards to customers who share proof of their bad sports predictions.

According to the press release, the “Prediction Payback” campaign is designed to drive app engagement on February 9, a date the brand unofficially dubs “National Hangover Day” due to the high number of employees calling in sick following the championship game.

Free Food and Digital Rewards

The centerpiece of the promotion is the Hangover Breakfast Burger, a menu item featuring a charbroiled beef patty, folded egg, cherrywood-smoked bacon, American cheese, Hash Rounds®, and ketchup on a seeded bun.

On February 9 only, My Rewards members can redeem one free Hangover Breakfast Burger at participating locations, with no purchase necessary.

In addition to the free sandwich, Carl’s Jr. is incentivizing user-generated content. Fans who upload a screenshot of a “bad prediction”—such as a losing betting slip, a failed fantasy football roster, or a regrettable text message—to the brand’s dedicated portal can win a $20 digital promo card. This offer is limited to the first 500 eligible submissions.

“We know that after the Big Game, attendees can suffer from all kinds of discomfort,” said Paz Romero, Vice President of Brand Marketing at Carl’s Jr. “If you have regrets… we have free burgers for My Rewards members.”

Celebrity Partnership

To amplify the campaign, Carl’s Jr. has tapped NFL quarterback Jameis Winston to star in a social media series mocking poor predictions and sports regrets.

“The thing about predictions is that everyone makes them and sometimes everyone gets them wrong,” Winston stated in the release. “Carl’s Jr. is actually rewarding people for admitting it.”

A lifestyle shot of a disappointed sports fan sitting on a couch after a game. He is looking at his smartphone which displays the Carl's Jr. app "Bad Prediction" upload screen, while a Carl's Jr. soft drink cup sits on the coffee table in front of a blurred TV.

Why It Matters

This campaign illustrates a shift in how QSR brands approach the Super Bowl. Rather than spending millions on a 30-second broadcast spot during the game, Carl’s Jr. is focusing on the post-game window to drive digital conversion.

By requiring the My Rewards app for the free burger and a website upload for the $20 promo, the brand is aggressively building its first-party data. For suppliers and co-packers in the breakfast category, the prominence of the “Hangover Burger” underscores the continued demand for heavy, protein-rich breakfast-lunch hybrids (brunch items) in the fast food sector. The inclusion of branded components like Hash Rounds® directly on the burger also highlights opportunities for manufacturers to develop cross-functional menu ingredients that reduce waste and simplify inventory.

FAQs

How do I get a free Carl’s Jr. Hangover Burger?

You must be a My Rewards member. Download the Carl’s Jr. app, create an account, and the offer for a free Hangover Breakfast Burger will be available on Monday, February 9, 2026.

What is the “Prediction Payback” promotion?

It is a contest where customers upload proof of a bad Super Bowl prediction (like a text or social post) to the Carl’s Jr. website. The first 500 valid entries receive a $20 digital promo card.

Is the free burger available all day?

The press release specifies the item is the “Hangover Breakfast Burger,” which implies availability may be limited to breakfast hours or while supplies last, though the exact window for redemption on Feb 9 was not explicitly restricted in the summary.


About Source86

Source86 connects the CPG and foodservice industry with verified partners. From co-manufacturing solutions for breakfast proteins to bulk supply of frozen potato products, our network helps brands scale efficiently.

If you are a manufacturer looking for private label opportunities or a brand seeking a reliable importer, we can help you navigate the supply chain. Contact us today to learn more.


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Agustina Branz

Senior Marketing Manager

LinkedIn

Agus is a curious, collaborative thinker who’s always looking to add value and momentum to the projects she touches.

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